Tinggal hitungan hari menuju malam puncak pembacaan para pemenang Oscar yang akan diadakan di Hollywood sana. Seiring dengan malam Oscar yang akan segera diadakan dan juga segera berakhir, bersamaan itu pula awards-season yang menurut saya paling seru dan dilingkupi beragam persaingan akan berakhir. Lega rasanya setiap kali Oscar selesai. Membuang segala rasa beribu warna yang menghantui semua orang di beberapa bulan terakhir.
Tidak seperti tahun-tahun lalu yang terlalu gampang untuk diprediksi hingga terkesan 'locked' bagi sebagian besar kategori. Bahkan untuk Best Picture saja, walaupun 90% possibility akan dimenangkan The Artist, orang-orang masih memperkirakan kemungkinan kemenangan dari beberapa kuda hitam. Best Actress apalagi, dimana kekuatan seorang Meryl Streep masih saja dihantui oleh Davis. Lima sutradara yang bersaing pun ikutan deg-degan siapa yang akan naik ke panggung Oscar nanti. Terhitung ada dua sutradara yang bersaing sekarang; Hazanavicius dan Scorcese, ditambah si kuda hitam Malick. Tanpa panjang lebar, berikut adalah rank dari enam kategori utama versi saya. Urutan saya nilai HANYA berdasarkan penampilan/kinerja mereka, dan bagaimana mereka bisa merebut perhatian saya. Saya tidak peduli dengan prediksi orang lain yang menggunakan hitungan kampanye lah, voters lah, dan segala hal lainnya. Dan saya juga tidak pusing-pusing memasukkan nama-nama yang bersifat out-of-the-radar sebagus apapun mereka. Be real. Setelah rank dibawah ini, saya selipkan juga prediksi final saya, siapa yang akan menang, dan siapa kuda hitamnya.
BEST PICTURE
1. Moneyball
2. Hugo
3. The Tree of Life
4. The Artist
5. Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
6. The Descendants
7. The Help
8. War Horse
9. Midnight in Paris
BEST DIRECTOR
1. Terrence Malick (The Tree of Life)
2. Martin Scorcese (Hugo)
3. Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)
4. Alexander Payne (The Descendants)
5. Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)
[should be here, I feel bad for him]
David Fincher (The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo)
David Fincher (The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo)
BEST ACTOR
1. Jean Dujardin (The Artist)
2. Brad Pitt (Moneyball)
3. George Clooney (The Descendants)
4. Gary Oldman (Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy)
5. Demian Bichir (A Better Life)
[should be here, I feel bad for them]
Michael Fassbender (Shame)
Leonardo Di Caprio (J. Edgar)
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BEST ACTRESS
1. Michelle Williams (My Week with Marylin)
2. Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)
3. Viola Davis (The Help)
4. Rooney Mara (The Girl with The Dragon Tattoo)
5. Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs)
[should be here, I feel bad for them]
Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin)
Charlize Theron (Young Adult)
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BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
2. Max Von Sydow (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
3. Christopher Plummer (Beginners)
4. Nick Nolte (Warrior)
5. Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marylin)
[should be here, I feel bad for him]
Albert Brooks (Drive)
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BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Octavia Spencer (The Help)
2. Benerice Bejo (The Artist)
3. Jessica Chastain (The Help)
4. Melissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids)
5. Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs)
[should be here, I feel bad for them]
Jessica Chastain (The Tree of Life)
Shailene Woodley (The Descendants)
OSCAR FINAL PREDICTIONS
Best Picture
Will win: THE ARTIST
Dark horse: HUGO
Best Director
Will win: MICHEL HAZANAVICIUS
Dark horse: MARTIN SCORCESE
Best Actor
Will win: JEAN DUJARDIN
Dark horse: GEORGE CLOONEY
Best Actress
Will win: VIOLA DAVIS
Dark horse: MERYL STREEP
Best Supporting Actor
Will win: CHRISTOPHER PLUMMER
Dark horse: MAX VON SYDOW
Best Original Screenplay
Will win: MIDNIGHT IN PARIS
Dark horse: THE ARTIST
Best Adapted Screenplay
Will win: THE DESCENDANTS
Dark horse: MONEYBALL
Best Animated Feature Film
Will win: RANGO
Dark horse: PUSS IN BOOTS
Best Foreign Language Film
Will win: A SEPARATION (Iran)
Dark horse: IN DARKNESS (Poland)
Best Documentary Feature Film
Will win: UNDEFEATED
Dark horse: PINA
Best Live Action - Short Subject
Will win: RAJU
Dark horse: THE SHORE
Best Animated Feature - Short Subject
Will win: THE FANTASTIC FLYING BOOKS
Dark horse: LA LUNA
Best Documentary - Short Subject
Will win: SAVING FACE
Dark horse: THE TSUNAMI AND THE CHERRY BLOSSOM
Best Original Score
Will win: THE ARTIST
Dark horse: WAR HORSE
Best Original Song
Will win: THE MUPPET
Dark horse: RIO
Best Sound Editing
Will win: HUGO
Dark horse: WAR HORSE
Best Sound Mixing
Will win: HUGO
Dark horse: WAR HORSE
Best Art Direction
Will win: HUGO
Dark horse: THE ARTIST
Best Cinematography
Will win: THE TREE OF LIFE
Dark horse: HUGO
Best Film Editing
Will win: THE ARTIST
Dark horse: THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO
Best Visual Effects
Will win: RISE OF THE PLANET OF THE APES
Dark horse: HUGO
Best Make-Up
Will win: THE IRON LADY
Dark horse: HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS PT. 2
Best Costume Design
Will win: JANE EYRE
Dark horse: THE ARTIST
